Spread In Basketball

SportsbookGurus.com - NCAA Basketball Sportsbooks - College Basketball Point Spread

College basketball has been wagered on since the beginning of the game although the stakes were much different than today. While farmers might have bet their favorite pig on the winner of the annual rivalry game back in the beginning, the most popular way to wager is on the point spread.

Now we're sure you've got many questions and rightfully so. We haven't even scratched the surface yet but we're going to get to several important things that every sports gambler should know before betting. SportsbookGurus.com is an expert in the field of college basketball betting lines and the spread is included in that! Ready? Let's begin...

What Is The Spread For The 2014 Final Four Games?

Finalized on Sunday night after Kentucky toppled Michigan in a thriller, the spread for the Final 4 is out and there are a few surprises upon first glance. The odds shown below are courtesy of Bovada and know others legal sports betting sites may vary. If you'd like to wager on any of these spreads, they are live right now at Bovada!

Spreads are often listed with a half-point (ex: 9.5) in order to prevent the final margin from landing exactly on the spread number (ex: 3-point spread, final score of 17–14). Point spread betting is one of the most popular and simplest forms of basketball bets that you can place. While this is a seemingly basic bet, it is one of the most utilized bets even by professionals. Remember, the complexity of a bet does not equal better odds or bigger payouts.

What Is The Point Spread?

A NCAA basketball points spread is merely some points given to the underdog to provide fairness to an uneven game. This in turn puts the favorite in a position where it has to win by a certain amount of points.

Point spread in basketball

A typical line you will see on an NCAA Basketball sportsbooks will look like this.

Example:

Duke (-14) vs. North Carolina State (+14). Since N.C State is the underdog in this meeting, for NCAA Basketball Gambling purposes, they are given a fourteen point cushion, while in order for the Duke to hit, they will have to win by fourteen. This is essentially what makes spread betting difficult.

Why Bet On The Point Spread?

Basketball spreads explained

Winning bettors always look for the edge on lines. The do their homework for many games and dial in all the stats and numbers in order to make a successful pick. Some of the more standard lines you will see for NCAA Basketball Sportsbooks are the Points Spread lines. Betting on College Basketball Spreads can be very easy with some accurate player and team choosing.

Factors That Influence The Point Spread In College Basketball Games

Many times the spread can change in favor of certain game aspects. One big factor that leads to the spread changing, with respect to betting on college basketball games, is home court advantage. Lots of times teams will get the favorite status if they are playing on their homecourt in front of their fans.

Another factor that can lead changes in the point spread are injuries. If top team is facing a weaker team but loses their all star guard for a few weeks, the weaker team will in some cases get the favorite role.

There are also other factors that can affect spread like player streaks and overall winning streaks. The oddsmakers factor in tons of information in order to make the spread difficult to hit. With a little preparation though, the house can be broken and money can be won.

Where To Bet On College Basketball Spreads

Bovada - March Madness Bonus!

With the most NCAA Basketball point spread comes a ton of online bettors, and Bovada can handle them all. Bovada is preferred by most online sports bettors and looking at what they have to offer, it is really no wonder. Starting with the Sportsbook Match Bonuses, Bovada has a 50% to $250 match bonus. You can turn this bonus into as much as you want it to be.

Bovada makes deposits easy by accepting many of the best deposit methods available including VISA credit, debit and gift cards + getting money out is almost as easy. This site uses a variety of methods with ensure payouts are always received and that they get there quickly.

SportsBetting - Epic Player Bonus!

The pros turn to SportsBetting.ag when they need accurate point spreads where they can bet high limits. This site delivers those lines along with some generous payouts to all their customers. They also got some sweet sign up bonuses for all new players depositing. As First Deposit Sportsbook Bonuses, SportsBetting will match 25% up to $1,000 each time a deposit is made into a player's account.

SportsBetting makes it a piece of cake finding all the best college basketball odds as their navigation is intuitive. On the front page they show all the most popular bets for college basketball games listed on their board as well as the favorite picks. SportsBetting does an outstanding job providing its customers 24/7 support either through email or telephone. Overall SportsBetting offers a solid and reliable sportsbooks to all college basketball fanatics.

Best College Basketball Points Spread Sportsbooks


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If you place wagers on US sports, then chances are high that you’ve heard of point spreads. Here’s how they work; if a game has Patriots -9.0 and Vikings +9.0, the Patriots are 9.0 point favorites and the Vikings are 9.0 point underdogs. Unless otherwise stated, no matter which team you bet on, you’ll be required to risk $1.10 for each $1.00 you want to win. For Patriots bettors to prevail, they need their team to win by 10 or more points. A 9-point Patriot victory would be a push (a tie). For Vikings bettors to take home the victory, they need to either win the game or lose by less than 9 points.

Point spreads are used since most recreational bettors prefer to wager even money propositions. In the above example, if there was no point spread, only moneyline betting would exist. So, if odds makers are giving the New England Patriots a 73% chance of winning a game, then in order to take bets and still have a small profit margin, the bookmaker would have no choice but to require Patriot bettors to stake $3.00 or more for each $1.00 they want to win.

With a point spread, the odds are balanced, so you usually have to risk just $1.10 to win $1.00. This makes the point spreads appealing to recreational bettors, who often think it’s easy to make money from them. We have to be honest with you; it’s NOT easy, but it IS possible. The strategy we cover in this article should help!

Recommended Reading

We’ve provided a brief explanation of point spreads in our introduction here, but if you’d like to know more about this type of wager then please read our beginner’s guide to betting point spreads.

Simple Tips for Point Spread Betting

Strategy for betting point spreads is obviously different for each sport and league, but these four tips are general enough to apply to them all.

  • Take Advantage of Bonus Offers
  • Use Multiple Betting Sites
  • Be Careful of Road Favorites
  • Understand Key Numbers

Let’s go over each of these tips in a little more detail.

Take Advantage of Bonus Offers

One way to make money from sports betting is to open an account at an online betting site and take advantage of their sign up bonus. This gives you extra money to wager with, and since point spreads are so straightforward, it can be relatively easy to meet the associated wagering requirements and still come out ahead. Repeating this process at multiple betting sites will maximize your potential returns! We just ask that you please stick with reputable sites, like any of the ones that we recommend.

Use Multiple Betting Sites

We already mentioned how using multiple betting sites allows you to take advantage of multiple bonus offers. That’s not the only benefit either. Since point spreads vary between sites, one of the best ways to beat these wagers is to compare the different spreads in order to find which one is the most favorable. This doesn’t take nearly as long as you might think, and it will make a huge difference to your bottom line over time.

Let’s take a hypothetical game between the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots as an example. One site might have the spread as follows.

Point Spread
+7
-7

Another site might offer a slightly different spread.

Point Spread
+7.5
-7.5

If you’re betting in favor of the Patriots, then you should be betting with Bookmaker A. If the Patriots win by more than seven points, then you’ll win with either bookmaker. However, if they win by exactly seven points, you’ll lose with Bookmaker B. With Bookmaker A, you’ll push and get your stake returned.

On the other hand, if you’re betting on the Bills, then Bookmaker B will be your best option. A Bills loss of exactly seven points would be a push at Bookmaker A, but it would be a win for you at Bookmaker B.

It’s only a half-point difference, and that might not seem like a lot. The bookmakers tend to be very accurate with their spreads though, and an extra half-point in your favor can easily add up to extra profits over time.

Be Careful of Road Favorites

Many novice bettors fail to understand the impact of home advantage when wagering on sport events. When looking at the board for potential wagers, these bettors tend to get excited and bet on lots of superior teams favored on the road against weaker opponents. The betting market is so much more advanced than this, and for the most part point spreads are always going to be 50/50 propositions.

Please Note

We’re not saying that you should never bet on road favorites. Just make sure that you have good reasons to do so. Keep in mind; they don’t just need to win, they need to win by a greater margin than the spread suggests they will.

Understand Key Numbers

Ncaa basketball point spreads

While understanding key numbers is beneficial for betting point spreads on any sport, key numbers are known for having the most significance in football. In NFL football, most games are decided by three or seven points. Therefore, when shopping the odds, the difference between -7.0 and -6.5 is far greater than the difference between -5.5 and -5.0.

With some betting sites odds, certain games are priced differently than risking $1.10 to win $1.00 (which is called -110 odds). For example, you might see the Giants priced at -105 and +7 in a game against the Jets. Now, you only have to risk $1.05 to win $1.00. This is obviously better odds, but it’s very likely that they will lose by exactly seven to give you a push. Taking -110 and +7.5 with an alternative bookmaker is actually the better bet.

Getting your head around these kind of intricacies, as well as knowing the relevant key numbers, is vital if you want to bet on the point spreads successfully.

Now that we’ve got the basic tips covered, we want to provide you with some point spread betting tips specific to two of the most popular US sports: football and basketball.

Point Spread Betting in Football

One of the best ways to beat football point spread betting is to use teasers. A teaser is a form of a parlay bet using modified point spreads. Each point spread you select is moved 6 points in your favor. For example, let’s say you’re interested in betting on the following.

-7
-3.5
+7

A teaser would give you a single wager with the following spreads.

+1
+3.5
+13
Spread basketball meaning

Each selection is obviously easier to get right with the spread moved in your favor, but you do have to get all three correct in order for your wager to win.

Recommended Reading

If you want to learn how to beat this form of wagering, you’ll definitely want to read our article on betting football teasers.

Another way to beat football point spreads is to shop for off market prices. For example, let’s say you’re shopping online betting sites and see every site is offering Vikings +7.0. Then, you stumble upon one site that’s offering +7.5. There’s a good chance that this is a +EV wager, simply because it is out of sync with every other site. Please note that this strategy isn’t quite the same as simply shopping for the best lines. Here, you’re specifically looking for wagers that are +EV because they’re against the market.

It’s also important to consider whether or not there’s any correlation between the point spread and the betting total. If they are, a parlay wager is a good way to get maximum value. For example, a college football point spread +24.5 parlayed with under 48 points in the same game might be a great parlay bet. If the +24.5 team covers the point spread, then there’s an increased chance that the game also goes under the posted total of 48.

Finally, you might want to think about learning the correct strategies for buying half-points in football. While many people are against this method, we’re here to tell you that there are some circumstances where buying points can be profitable.

Point Spread Betting in Basketball

Buying half points is a strategy that can work for basketball too. Most online betting sites offer bettors the ability to purchase half-points at 10 cents each. Let’s say the Lakers are -6.5 at odds of -110 for example. Here of some of the options you can expect to see.

-120
-130
-140

A great strategy for betting basketball point spreads is to shop dozens of betting sites for the best line, and then purchase as many half points as possible (provided they are priced 10 cents each).

When using this strategy, it’s helpful to know the most common margins of victory in NBA basketball and how often they occur.

Basketball

This information shows us that nearly half the games finish with one of the eight point margins listed, and this isn’t the result of variance. Some margins of victory occur more frequently than others because of end game strategy. The winning team is often found running the clock, while the losing team if often found intentionally fouling.

The key here is to target the point spread five and seven, because these are virtually tied as the most common margins of victory. It’s important to recognize that most betting sites are only willing to sell 2 or 3 half points for 10 cents each, after which point they start charging more. Some sites sell up to four half points at this price though.

Spread Offense In Basketball

To show how this can be exploited, take a point spread of -8.5 at odds of -110. This is a 50/50 proposition. Let’s assume you’ve purchased enough points to move the spread to -6.5 at odds of -150. Now, you’d win instead of lose 6.24% of the time they win by 8, and 6.59% of the time they win by 7. Add these together with the 50% from the original proposition, and we get 62.83%.

Go to our odds converter, and you’ll see that the implied probability of -150 is 60%. This means you need to win 60% of the time to break even. However, our handicapping shows the actual probability of winning is 62.38%.

If we risked $150 to win $100 on this -150 line, 62.38% of the time we would win $100. And 37.62% of the time we would lose $150. This gives us an expected profit of $5.95 for every $150 risked.

Warning

Spread Offense In Basketball

If you only make large +EV bets such as the basketball example above, betting sites will limit the amount you’re allowed to wager. It’s not uncommon for online bookmakers to spot a skilled bettor and say, “Okay you can keep wagering here, but the maximum you’re allowed to bet per game is $500.00.”
If you keep betting and winning, they might decrease your limits even further. That’s why we recommend trying to hide the fact that you’re so sharp. By placing some random wagers and occasionally spending some time at their casino, you’ll have a much better chance of staying under the radar.
This is also another good reason for using multiple sites. Since there are so many different reputable betting sites to choose from, it would take you a long time to get limited at every single one of them.